Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $8.24K
- Potential payout
- $60.34K
- Potential profit
- $52.11K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$735.84
Polymarket Trader
JosephTrump
0x97afda90095deb8cbc9eac46acc2a79ab2569bc6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.49K
- Realized PnL
- $29.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $5.65K
- Potential payout
- $45K
- Potential profit
- $39.35K
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $607.54
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $23.46K
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $209.47
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $11.97K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- $554.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.8K
- Potential profit
- $10.8K
- User PnL
- -$10.07K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $7.78K
- Potential payout
- $8.16K
- Potential profit
- $387.83
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $868.69
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $5.7K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $244.3
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $6K
- Potential payout
- $6.8K
- Potential profit
- $799.31
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $717.37
- Potential payout
- $5.74K
- Potential profit
- $5.02K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$948.38
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $4.79K
- Potential payout
- $4.83K
- Potential profit
- $41.07
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Current value
- $928.69
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- Multiplier
- 3.98x
- User PnL
- -$415.79
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $391
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- -$503.5
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $870.2
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $179.81
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $918.75
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $831.25
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $8.75
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $53.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $705
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $795
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$312
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $653.05
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $391.83
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$79.71
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $915
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $674.96
- Potential payout
- $749.96
- Potential profit
- $75
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $382.57
- Potential payout
- $742.85
- Potential profit
- $360.28
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $492.5
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $393.58
- Potential payout
- $455
- Potential profit
- $61.43
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $15.93
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $354.02
- Potential payout
- $400.03
- Potential profit
- $46
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $110.01
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $3.39
- Potential payout
- $398.63
- Potential profit
- $395.25
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
Packers position
Bears vs. Packers
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Asplund position
UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Talbott position
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Wizards
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Bruins position
Flames vs. Bruins
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $834.14
Finland position
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Italy
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $775.31
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $765.7
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $738.33
No position
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $702.21
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $609.97
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $593.3
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.57
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.05
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $468.03
No position
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $433.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 28% 428.84 shares
- United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over 71% 25 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 47% 5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 41% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 1,000 shares
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over 58% 100 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 41% 181 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 40% 75.08 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.4% 20.38 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.2% 24,990 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 99% 522.21 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 36.6% 500 shares