Yes position
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $14.92
- Potential payout
- $609.05
- Potential profit
- $594.13
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$6.08
Polymarket Trader
nadou
0x97bf053b237464b0fe5abb0efa2ef4b2dfaa1791
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $136.51
- Realized PnL
- $242.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $18.66
- Potential payout
- $444.29
- Potential profit
- $425.63
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$12.34
Yes position
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $98.63
- Potential payout
- $410.96
- Potential profit
- $312.33
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$41.07
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.76
- Potential profit
- $192.76
- User PnL
- -$15.03
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $181.22
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.72
- Potential profit
- $31.72
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.05
- Potential profit
- $19.05
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $9.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $8.92
- Potential profit
- $8.58
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.48
- Potential profit
- $8.48
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.61
- Potential profit
- $6.61
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.38
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will "People" be said 111+ times during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.06
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.89
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.77
No position
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.16
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.3
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.13
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
No position
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Pool" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.7% 185.19 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 39% 25.64 shares
- Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.9% 144.29 shares
- Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.5% 577.8 shares
- Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.2% 31.25 shares
- Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 7% 285.71 shares
- Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 33.9% 295.31 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 37% 8.92 shares
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?No 6% 16.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETDown 9% 11.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETDown 18% 5.56 shares