Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $43.79
- Potential payout
- $168.41
- Potential profit
- $124.62
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$6.21
Polymarket Trader
Madus
0x97f5da8abdba11c1494c34fd7a1d297fcc087217
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $95.69
- Realized PnL
- $144.76
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $17.05
- Potential payout
- $32.79
- Potential profit
- $15.74
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $19.71
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $9.71
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.15
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.26
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
Yes position
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Minneapolis" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Canada position
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami finish with the second most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 78% 12.82 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 66% 15.15 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.6% 31.25 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 33% 60.61 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes 62% 32.26 shares
- Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No 93% 10.75 shares