No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$10.56
Polymarket Trader
Nickleo
0x98016ab8675c8de8dd2710431c951db17e9cce85
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.88
- Realized PnL
- $3.1K
- Win rate
- 95%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $313.4
- Potential profit
- $313.4
- User PnL
- -$34.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $38.88
- Potential payout
- $84.52
- Potential profit
- $45.64
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$19.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.6
- Potential profit
- $56.6
- User PnL
- -$48.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $43
- User PnL
- -$12.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$7.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$3.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?No 97.2% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on April 18?No 96.5% 26.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on April 18?Yes 85.8% 56.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 18?No 96% 48.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on April 18?No 97.3% 14.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on April 18?No 96.9% 19.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on April 18?No 94.6% 34.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 18?No 68% 8.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on April 18?No 87.9% 29.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on April 18?No 88.4% 29.83 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.1% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 3?No 95% 30.26 shares