No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $57.66
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $4.34
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.06
Polymarket Trader
0x980541B8C636d98D1F2d1b21D983e6CA7f32E23a-1757758713935
0x980541b8c636d98d1f2d1b21d983e6ca7f32e23a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $163.38
- Realized PnL
- $62.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.9%
- Current value
- $8.38
- Potential payout
- $49.76
- Potential profit
- $41.37
- Multiplier
- 5.93x
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $41.91
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.06
- Potential profit
- $39.06
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Current value
- $6.48
- Potential payout
- $37.59
- Potential profit
- $31.11
- Multiplier
- 5.80x
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $9.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $15.88
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $4.13
No position
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.5
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 9.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
No position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $7.57
- Potential payout
- $13.4
- Potential profit
- $5.83
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $9.54
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.2%
- Current value
- $4.04
- Potential payout
- $8.38
- Potential profit
- $4.34
- Multiplier
- 2.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
N
No position
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?
Ends Jul 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $6.14
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $5.76
- Potential payout
- $5.81
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
No position
Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
North Korea missile launch by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will FactSet Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Expedia (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 16.7% 11.97 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes 13.3% 37.59 shares
- Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June?No 70% 7.14 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No 20% 25 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 2.6% 76.92 shares
- Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?No 61% 3.27 shares
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?Yes 12.8% 39.06 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 8.1% 61.73 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 30?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.0B?No 30% 16.67 shares
- Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?No 42% 19.04 shares