Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $7.71
- Potential payout
- $5.14K
- Potential profit
- $5.13K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$72.19
Polymarket Trader
0x9807...6569
0x98070e363e94af4821e605d21432feee0bfc6569
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.96K
- Realized PnL
- -$279.26
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $126.21
- Potential payout
- $4.43K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $15.13
- Potential payout
- $3.36K
- Potential profit
- $3.35K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$292.67
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $152.04
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $885.5
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $138.2
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $148.44
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $108.67
- Potential payout
- $924.83
- Potential profit
- $816.16
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $26.36
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $161.38
- Potential payout
- $313.37
- Potential profit
- $151.98
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $42.31
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $55.28
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $5.28
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $40.62
- Potential payout
- $41.05
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $28.52
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $13.28
- Potential payout
- $29.52
- Potential profit
- $16.24
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.79
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $26.88
- Potential profit
- $23.25
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $1.21
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.08
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.24
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$91.58
Yes position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$281.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 35.39 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 56.18 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 56.18 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 56.18 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 247.19 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 56.18 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 56.18 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 56.18 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 305.17 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 13% 104.15 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 13% 38.46 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 13% 38.46 shares