Polymarket Trader

soul962533

0x980e0a4061ecb8f33503d90463998ecfa0a99ce0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $477.16
Realized PnL: $1.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$600.25

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $95
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $905
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $81.17
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $536.11
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: -$18.83

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $606.2
Potential profit: $606.2
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $14.05
Potential payout: $530
Potential profit: $515.96
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$187.36

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $510
User PnL: -$300.68

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $497.5
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$47.5

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $106
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $294
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $6

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$200

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Kings

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $169.49
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $148.58
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $1.43
User PnL: $49.57

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$25

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $61.73
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $29.87
Potential payout: $37.1
Potential profit: $7.23
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $4.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.09

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.87

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.48

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.04

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.94

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.56

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.52

Yes position

Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.65

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.8

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.17

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.28

No position

Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.75

No position

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 39.7%
Multiplier: 2.52x
User PnL: $54.62

Seahawks position

49ers vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.4

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.04

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.97

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.6

HMBLE position

LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1)

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.42

Heat position

Grizzlies vs. Heat

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 57.3% 269.66 shares
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

Yes 95.4% 2,201.76 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 33% 151.52 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 22% 227.27 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 71% 281.69 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 60% 83.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 85% 117.65 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 10% 1,000 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 81% 61.73 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 66% 150 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 83% 120.48 shares
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 37.1% 269.66 shares