Polymarket Trader

MatiNivin

0x983075cfa7d13ae1f3a2aafad1af8582e403efb0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $73.15
Realized PnL: $18.79
Win rate: 73.3%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$128.34

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $831.83
Potential profit: $831.83
User PnL: -$40.98

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $363.24
Potential profit: $363.24
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $302.97
Potential profit: $302.97
User PnL: -$99.98

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.28
Potential profit: $191.28
User PnL: -$8.99

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.92
Potential profit: $130.92
User PnL: -$15.71

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.88
Potential profit: $105.88
User PnL: -$18.94

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.9%
Current value: $39.18
Potential payout: $95.69
Potential profit: $56.52
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.33
Potential profit: $91.33
User PnL: -$24.66

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $7.69
Potential payout: $20.04
Potential profit: $12.35
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.36
Potential profit: $15.36
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.9%
Current value: $6.1
Potential payout: $14.9
Potential profit: $8.8
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.8%
Current value: $10.3
Potential payout: $12.15
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $9.89
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.23

Trail Blazers position

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.66

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.59

Argentina position

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.26

Yes position

Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.29

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Down 47% 10.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Down 48% 10.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Up 83% 30.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Up 52% 9.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Up 48.6% 51.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Up 98% 25.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Up 98% 25.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Up 92% 5.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Up 83% 6.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Up 81.2% 30.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Up 75% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Up 99% 5.05 shares