No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $660.3
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $597.41
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $318.04
Polymarket Trader
0x9833960aB6621BC5Ada4EE0c6d2b2913994F0B32-1749489393165
0x9833960ab6621bc5ada4ee0c6d2b2913994f0b32
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.16K
- Realized PnL
- $5.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $633.06
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $620.52
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$238
Yes position
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $86.22
- Potential payout
- $718.51
- Potential profit
- $632.29
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.46
No position
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $556.1
- Potential payout
- $646.63
- Potential profit
- $90.53
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $246.13
- Potential profit
- $246.13
- User PnL
- -$14.15
Yes position
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.76
- Potential profit
- $202.76
- User PnL
- -$13.75
No position
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $55.24
- Potential payout
- $200.88
- Potential profit
- $145.64
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $10.97
Yes position
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $128.31
- Potential payout
- $197.4
- Potential profit
- $69.09
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$17.04
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $41.28
- Potential payout
- $85.11
- Potential profit
- $43.83
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$14.97
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $57.62
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$8.79
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $21
- User PnL
- -$12.18
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$1.63
No position
Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?
Ends Mar 7, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.68
- Potential profit
- $6.68
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $970.42
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $952.5
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $913.95
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.68
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.01
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.58
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $276.53
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.03
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $141.81
No position
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.99
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $138.68
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.74
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.07
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.53
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.86
No position
Will the U.K.'s monthly inflation be 0.2% in December?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.67
No position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.79
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.82
No position
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.25
Yes position
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.32
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.08
No position
ECB rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.5
Yes position
Fed rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.07
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 26.1% 2,397.83 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 72% 2,397.8 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes 15% 136.5 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No 87% 170.08 shares
- Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?Yes 1.7% 0.82 shares
- Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 97.6% 1 shares
- Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 98.1% 0.15 shares
- Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?No 22.3% 29 shares
- Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?Yes 78% 29 shares
- Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?Yes 81.5% 11 shares
- Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?No 45.3% 30 shares
- Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?Yes 65% 35 shares