Polymarket Trader

TheTank

0x9839cc53ebeafce834f97537ad2dd11c58aa4cc8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: -$4.3
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "death penalty" during Michigan rally on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11.5

No position

Israel military response against Iran in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.51
Potential profit: $17.51
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "inflation" 10 or more times during New York rally on October 27?

Ends Oct 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "border" 35 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?

Ends Oct 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.78

No position

Will Speed break the 24h backflip world record?

Ends Oct 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

No position

Will Trump say "hurricane" 2 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?

Ends Oct 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96

No position

Will Trump say "Mars" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will Trump say "god" 3 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?

Ends Oct 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

Dodgers position

NLCS: Dodgers vs. Mets Game 6

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yankees position

World Series: Dodgers vs. Yankees Game 1

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.17

Mets position

NLCS: Dodgers vs. Mets Game 6

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Kamala say "inflation" 3 or more times during Univision town hall on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Kamala say "pathway to citizenship" during Univision town hall on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "million" 10 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.63

No position

Will Trump say "China" 5 or more times during North Carolina rally on October 21?

Ends Oct 21, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.39

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kamala" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.45

Yes position

Will Milton make landfall as a category 4?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.52

No position

Will Trump say "Trans" during North Carolina rally October 22?

Ends Oct 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Venezuela" 3 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?

Ends Oct 13, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Kamala say "gouging" during Univision town hall on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?

Yes 13% 38.46 shares
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Yes 41.8% 25.31 shares
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?

Yes 40% 26.31 shares
Will Trump say "inflation" 10 or more times during New York rally on October 27?

No 50% 10 shares
Will Trump say "death penalty" during Michigan rally on October 25?

Yes 20% 5 shares
World Series: Dodgers vs. Yankees Game 1

Yankees 58% 8.62 shares
Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?

Yes 99% 12.19 shares
Will Trump say "Mars" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?

No 16% 6.25 shares
Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?

Yes 82% 12.2 shares
Will Trump say "god" 3 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?

Yes 84% 14.29 shares
Israel military response against Iran in October?

No 57.1% 17.51 shares
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Yes 39.5% 25.32 shares