Polymarket Trader

Leal45

0x9854066562d70da8b3398b8ec1f641a37e4344a8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $267.19
Realized PnL: $222.61
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$16.4

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $657.65
Potential profit: $657.65
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

James Comey arrested by April 28?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280.7
Potential profit: $280.7
User PnL: -$10.88

No position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $218.07
Potential payout: $242.3
Potential profit: $24.23
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $19.38

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.96
Potential profit: $159.96
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.25
Potential profit: $141.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $109.09
Potential profit: $109.04
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.95

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $96.15
User PnL: -$5

United States position

Spread: United States (-3.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Australia position

Spread: Australia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $61.43
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $58.14
Potential profit: $54.51
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.7%
Current value: $10.14
Potential payout: $57.47
Potential profit: $47.33
Multiplier: 5.67x
User PnL: $5.14

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $45.05
Potential profit: $41.91
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $9.08
Potential payout: $39.49
Potential profit: $30.41
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.15
Potential profit: $33.15
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $10.76
Potential payout: $31.06
Potential profit: $20.3
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $5.76

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.73
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.8

Yes position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

Yes position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Multiplier: 6.76x
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 11% 109.09 shares
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 1,535.63 shares
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 54% 18.52 shares
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 25.3% 39.49 shares
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

No 82% 242.3 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 200 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 0.9% 1,803.16 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 5% 200 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 19% 5.26 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 22% 22.73 shares