Polymarket Trader

S1R1US

0x98597da16fd05b56941d809e16aa86f9ebd41650

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.2K
Realized PnL: $12.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.2K
Potential profit: $253.2K
User PnL: -$759.86

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $481.38
Potential payout: $24.69K
Potential profit: $24.2K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$2.67K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.13K
Potential profit: $21.13K
User PnL: -$641.56

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.75K
Potential profit: $17.75K
User PnL: -$753.09

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $352.6
Potential payout: $17.2K
Potential profit: $16.85K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$647.13

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $366.15
Potential payout: $11.1K
Potential profit: $10.73K
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$1.33K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.37K
Potential profit: $10.37K
User PnL: -$133.51

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$165.24

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.42K
Potential profit: $9.42K
User PnL: -$46.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $5.28K
User PnL: -$54.99

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.87K
Potential profit: $4.87K
User PnL: -$75.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.26K
Potential profit: $3.26K
User PnL: -$134.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $2.47K
User PnL: -$70.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$327.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$34.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on March 19?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$64.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$54.99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$313.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$153.56

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on March 19?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$49.99

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on March 20?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$49.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$104.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.02K

Magic position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $943.86

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $807.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $626.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $501.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495.78

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $470.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.6

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $452.57

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.09

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.19

Raptors position

Pistons vs. Raptors

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.85

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $354.31

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.13

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.87

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.7

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.12

CSDIILIT position

Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group C

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.65

Over position

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.87

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.5% 1,200 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Yes 9% 610.17 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Yes 5.8% 1,000 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

Yes 9% 500 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

Yes 12% 228 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

Yes 11.7% 470 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Up 53% 55.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Up 53% 72.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Up 53% 79.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Up 52% 40 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET

Up 91% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET

Up 56% 151.48 shares