Polymarket Trader

0x98633aE65443fF1f36142cc6ED7A9C18079c5445-1772597960181

0x98633ae65443ff1f36142cc6ed7a9c18079c5445

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.8K
Realized PnL: $8.55K
Win rate: 69.2%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $714.07
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $9K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $23.55

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $506.89
Potential payout: $3.71K
Potential profit: $3.21K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$93.11

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$402

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $215.79
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $953.8
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $15.79

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $964.62
Potential profit: $964.62
User PnL: -$397.54

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $309.78
Potential payout: $652.17
Potential profit: $342.39
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $9.78

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $538.24
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 through 4 games?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.47
Potential profit: $401.47
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.92
Potential profit: $276.92
User PnL: -$180

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $664.34

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $285.02

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.71

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.95

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.97

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.24

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.53

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$96.07

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$291.64

Yes position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$441.05

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$498.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 46% 652.17 shares
Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 through 4 games?

Yes 37.4% 401.47 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 32.7% 930.23 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 25.4% 1,214.17 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 63.8% 313.48 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 1,030.93 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.1% 1,169.59 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.5% 1,212.12 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 64.4% 465.92 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 99.9% 476.19 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 34% 588.24 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 99.9% 439.65 shares