No position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $41.24
- Potential payout
- $158.63
- Potential profit
- $117.39
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$11.1
Polymarket Trader
xfm-2-4
0x98688047301c040a51af11609f4a8ffb7a76b6d4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.24
- Realized PnL
- -$39.96
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.5
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $32.65
Yes position
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,940 on the final trading day of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.25
No position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 33% 158.63 shares
- Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes 15% 350 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 34.6% 350 shares
- Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes 27% 440 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 33.3% 380 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 24.9% 15 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 15% 400 shares
- Databricks IPO before 2027?No 46% 260 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 54% 250 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 37% 250 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.8% 60 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 60 shares