No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $4.51K
- Potential payout
- $4.72K
- Potential profit
- $207.67
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $167.6
Polymarket Trader
ZhouSir1
@coin66688
0x987645e78d6b3ed01d69289a5fd4b140bea71e66
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.63K
- Realized PnL
- $9.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.1%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $507
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $333
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $1.94K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $56
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $104
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$1.67K
No position
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $946.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $53.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $21.5
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$800
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $990.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- User PnL
- $40.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $875
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $125
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Current value
- $886.48
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $113.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $78.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $606.86
- Potential profit
- $606.86
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $508.51
- Potential profit
- $508.51
- User PnL
- -$407.11
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.6%
- Current value
- $318
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $182
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $472.49
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $27.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $202.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $188.49
- Potential payout
- $396.83
- Potential profit
- $208.34
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$61.51
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$160.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $834.35
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $609.21
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.01
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.82
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.78
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.58
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.73
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.32
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.37
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.7
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.69
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.08
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.73
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $110.6
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.98
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 90.3% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 87.9% 500 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 91.5% 546.47 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 86% 100 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 86% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 63% 793.65 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 92.2% 1,084.73 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 91.9% 1,088.46 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No 98% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 67% 418.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 68% 499.99 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 8.1% 845.71 shares