Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $29.93
- Potential payout
- $202.92
- Potential profit
- $172.99
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- $6.8
Polymarket Trader
0x9876...fbee
0x98767ec5933faaa74a00e710d6a6c8079fadfbee
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $96.24
- Realized PnL
- $953.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $66.31
- Potential payout
- $107.83
- Potential profit
- $41.51
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$22.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.36
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.13
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.19
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.35
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.8
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.21
No position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.47
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.72
No position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.4
Yes position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.92
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.54
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 25?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 16?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Yes 82.5% 107.83 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 82% 59.76 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 0.8% 51.09 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 43.8% 30.64 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 45.3% 40.86 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 46.2% 40.86 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 67% 11.94 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes 66% 151.52 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?No 84.6% 61.03 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?No 86% 61.03 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?No 86.8% 244.12 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?No 92% 72.72 shares