No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
0x987bf14cae2d3d153092cFc9CfdAdda8B475BCc3-1768684730077
0x987bf14cae2d3d153092cfc9cfdadda8b475bcc3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.04
- Realized PnL
- $0.01
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $446.43
- Potential profit
- $446.43
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $8.41
- Potential payout
- $68.62
- Potential profit
- $60.21
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $29.6
- Potential payout
- $52.41
- Potential profit
- $22.8
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$8.4
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $5.81
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 446.43 shares
- Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 4.6% 88.88 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 10.3% 21.97 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 7% 71.42 shares
- Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Yes 81% 13.51 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 94.6% 1.1 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 66% 4.55 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 9.1% 21.98 shares
- Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 4.5% 88.89 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 7% 71.43 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 79% 9.28 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 76% 5.07 shares