Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $11.01
- Potential payout
- $202.01
- Potential profit
- $191
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Polymarket Trader
0x987ea140C1FEc8f616a52318840ff1482360c3bd-1776356291225
0x987ea140c1fec8f616a52318840ff1482360c3bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $361.11
- Realized PnL
- $534.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $38.54
- Potential payout
- $198.14
- Potential profit
- $159.6
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $23.79
- Potential payout
- $159.16
- Potential profit
- $135.37
- Multiplier
- 6.69x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $57.91
- Potential payout
- $154.42
- Potential profit
- $96.51
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $108.67
- Potential profit
- $104.92
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $5.56
- Potential payout
- $96.63
- Potential profit
- $91.07
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $65.97
- Potential profit
- $65.28
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $59.13
- Potential profit
- $59.04
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $53.24
- Potential payout
- $57.03
- Potential profit
- $3.79
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $48.16
- Potential profit
- $47.37
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $45.77
- Potential profit
- $43.37
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $38.04
- Potential payout
- $39.83
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $8.94
- Potential payout
- $38.44
- Potential profit
- $29.5
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $37.3
- Potential profit
- $37.24
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $37.29
- Potential profit
- $37.23
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $35.09
- Potential payout
- $36.59
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Current value
- $7.97
- Potential payout
- $33.48
- Potential profit
- $25.51
- Multiplier
- 4.20x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.2%
- Current value
- $19.3
- Potential payout
- $33.17
- Potential profit
- $13.87
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $10.6
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $33.11
- Potential profit
- $33.03
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $27.22
- Potential payout
- $28.17
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $25.81
- Potential payout
- $26.08
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $25.34
- Potential profit
- $25.02
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $24.05
- Potential profit
- $23.64
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $191.26
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.45
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.97
No position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.77
9z position
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.42
Nigma Galaxy position
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.25
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.9
Boston Red Sox position
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.79
Suns position
Lakers vs. Suns
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.51
Yes position
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $11.15
Kiwoom DRX position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.47
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09
New York Yankees position
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.66
Tallon Griekspoor position
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Tallon Griekspoor
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
No position
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Lorenzo Sonego position
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Baltimore Orioles position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.79
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna position
Santa Cruz: Eric Vanshelboim vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Under position
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 26?Yes 1% 3.55 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 22-28?Yes 2.1% 20.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 23% 16.8 shares
- Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 99.9% 5.67 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 97.4% 5.21 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?No 93.8% 5.31 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 6.6 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?Yes 11% 19.82 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 99.9% 12.19 shares
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Haiti 1% 451.61 shares
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsVitality 46% 7.35 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 37% 13.51 shares