Polymarket Trader

tian33

@tiantian33033

0x9881a939a646d2f365c7c2d34df8780efab83844

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $275.8
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.4

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.08

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.34

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.8

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.4

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.08

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.34

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.8

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.37

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-16.5)

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 81.7%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $3.8

No position

Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

Spurs position

Wizards vs. Spurs

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 69.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 11% 199.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 16.6% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 89.9% 10 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 93% 32.26 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

No 6.2% 100 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

No 65% 100 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 94.6% 30 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 11.3% 510.5 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 11.3% 81.18 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 11.4% 291.66 shares
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Yes 85% 34 shares