Yes position
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$7.67
Polymarket Trader
0x9889634AdE9046c5f3A86F820e769583fc3E4839-1767017398693
0x9889634ade9046c5f3a86f820e769583fc3e4839
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.26
- Realized PnL
- $468.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
DRX position
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$774.03
No position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
TCU Horned Frogs position
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $15.67
- Potential payout
- $847.22
- Potential profit
- $831.55
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $389.17
- Potential profit
- $388.59
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.42
KT Rolster position
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3)
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $375
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$57.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.69
DRX position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.54
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "Minnesota" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.24
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.59
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.19
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.83
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.81
Yes position
Will Rhea Seehorn (Pluribus) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.44
No position
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.29
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.95
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.45
Yes position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.41
No position
Will "Wild Shit" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
SK Gaming position
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1)
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?Yes 5.4% 100 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 62% 75 shares
- Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?Yes 67.5% 132.4 shares
- Clavicular sentenced to prison?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?Yes 7% 130.3 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 12% 625 shares
- Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Yes 43% 169.99 shares
- Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Yes 51% 936.87 shares
- Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Will Trump say "India" during the State of the Union address?No 32.9% 46.75 shares
- Will Trump say "India" during the State of the Union address?No 42.8% 46.76 shares
- Will Trump say "Minnesota" during the State of the Union address?Yes 70.2% 71.24 shares