0xK9895C337CD7a93e845970f7B3AFea163870

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $24.84K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $162.5
User PnL: $12.34K

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $162.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.84K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$12.34K

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.95
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $35
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Türkiye?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will OPEC crude oil production be above 21 million barrels per day in May?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Conviction win NACL 2026 Spring?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Michael Stansfield advance from the CA-06 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $28.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Independence Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $28.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Alexander Albon win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Paul Castro Jr. as Hikaru Indou (The Summer Hikaru Died) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Erick Bougleux as Zanka Nijiku (Gachiakuta) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Brazilian Portuguese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.81

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.5

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $240 and $250 on September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $3.00 and $3.10 on September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.51

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.83

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.11

Yes position

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $16.97

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.99

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 21.7%
Multiplier: 4.62x
User PnL: $12.41

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.99

Thespa Gunma position

Spread: Thespa Gunma (-2.5)