Polymarket Trader

Eviliam718

0x98a743405519f6d8b9a6c9395134e16214fedf9e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.3
Realized PnL: $5.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99K
Potential profit: $99.99K
User PnL: -$99.99

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.52K
Potential profit: $97.52K
User PnL: -$97.52

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.57K
Potential profit: $62.57K
User PnL: -$62.57

No position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.29K
Potential profit: $34.29K
User PnL: -$34.29

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.71K
Potential profit: $17.71K
User PnL: -$58.47

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $12.6K
Potential profit: $12.6K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.71

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2K
Potential profit: $12.2K
User PnL: -$28.99

No position

Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $11K
User PnL: -$14.97

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.59K
Potential profit: $10.59K
User PnL: -$105.94

Yes position

Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.36K
Potential profit: $10.36K
User PnL: -$72.14

No position

Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$384.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $880

No position

Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during West Point Commencement on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $814.58

Yes position

Will Trump say "Elon" this week?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520

Yes position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $378.15

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.29

Yes position

Will Trump say "Apple" this week?

Ends Jun 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.45

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $279.61

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215

No position

Will Trump say "China" 15+ times during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Will Trump say "Apple" this week?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175

No position

Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.35

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Germany" 7+ times during Merz events on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.06

Yes position

Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 14m?

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.71

Yes position

Will Trump say "Make a Deal" during his cabinet meeting on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.77

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.82

Yes position

Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.28

Yes position

Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.09

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Kim Moon-soo?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.11

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.51

No position

Will Trump say "Japan" 5+ times during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Yes 0.1% 2,285.34 shares
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Yes 2.3% 28.68 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

Yes 0.1% 50,000 shares
Trump kiss by May 31?

No 0.1% 50,000 shares
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 0.3% 1,248.48 shares
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Yes 1.5% 5,000 shares
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Yes 1.4% 521.21 shares
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?

Yes 71% 6.5 shares
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Yes 0.1% 100,000 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

No 0.1% 20,000 shares