Madjax

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $55.1
Potential payout: $10.02K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.97K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.02K
Potential profit: $5.02K
User PnL: -$167.99

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01K
Potential profit: $5.01K
User PnL: -$131.76

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $141.54
Potential payout: $4.23K
Potential profit: $4.08K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $65.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$80

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $21.67
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.31K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$8.33

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.73K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $12.22
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$7.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$60

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
User PnL: -$35.99

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$17.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$100.85

Yes position

Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$178.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $713.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192

Yes position

Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.61

Giants position

Eagles vs. Giants

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.8

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.58

Yes position

Will Trump say "Medal" at Fort Bragg on Friday?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?

Ends Jul 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?