No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Polymarket Trader
0x98B7e9dCa633cEd4309fbe8a937F7a4D719d4d75-1772280901443
0x98b7e9dca633ced4309fbe8a937f7a4d719d4d75
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $143.63
- Realized PnL
- $65.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$53.05
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $766.57
- Potential profit
- $766.57
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $142.43
- Potential payout
- $499.92
- Potential profit
- $357.5
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $95.13
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$21.2
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $34.36
- Potential profit
- $33.91
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$6.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.26
- Potential profit
- $25.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.24
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.51
- Potential profit
- $18.51
- User PnL
- -$9.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.14
- Potential profit
- $17.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.32
- Potential profit
- $16.32
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.91
- Potential profit
- $8.91
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.45
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 48-49°F on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 0.6% 375 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 0.6% 500 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 7% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 8% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 2.5% 400 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 10% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 10% 23 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 10% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 2.8% 54.89 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 8.3% 20 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 5% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 5% 200 shares