No position
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Polymarket Trader
Athena498
0x98e184338ba077064eadb0dd616b863689800658
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.18
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Solana dip to $100 by March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 4-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Solana dip to $100 by March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 4-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will another show be the top global Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Oh Se-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Victor Ponta win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 4.5% 81 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 98.2% 29 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 98.1% 29 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 3.1% 42 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 89% 32 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 90% 32 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 76% 33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94.9% 29 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 96.9% 28 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 97.2% 28 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 15% 34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 3.9% 17 shares