No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.46K
- Potential profit
- $197.46K
- User PnL
- -$1.86K
Polymarket Trader
BLESS24
0x98f1edcada23b420162f9f32c3097fe64eb8fe43
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $782.54
- Realized PnL
- $2.09K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.56K
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380.77
- Potential profit
- $380.77
- User PnL
- -$114.77
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $273.42
- Potential payout
- $372
- Potential profit
- $98.58
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $16.94
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$15.4
Yes position
Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.99
- Potential profit
- $349.99
- User PnL
- -$10.15
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $216.74
- Potential payout
- $247.7
- Potential profit
- $30.96
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$7.42
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.35
- Potential profit
- $185.35
- User PnL
- -$48.19
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.44
- Potential profit
- $163.44
- User PnL
- -$101.33
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $140.88
- Potential payout
- $160.09
- Potential profit
- $19.21
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $9.73
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $151.5
- Potential payout
- $159.81
- Potential profit
- $8.31
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$85.8
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.29
- Potential profit
- $96.29
- User PnL
- -$4.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.99
- Potential profit
- $34.99
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.44
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.21
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.64
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $237.6
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.95
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.05
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.4
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.7
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.82
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.52
No position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.95
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes 73% 26 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes 71% 78.58 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Yes 65% 136 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes 82.9% 101.63 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes 82% 10.7 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes 78% 26.04 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No 91% 122.67 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No 90% 66.93 shares
- Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes 95% 154.82 shares
- Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes 94.8% 4.99 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 91.8% 99.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 80,000 shares