Polymarket Trader

FESENTEY

0x9902cc1ffb582e079c902380b655fdc3afb534b3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $603.57
Realized PnL: $134.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $49.6
Potential payout: $4.72K
Potential profit: $4.67K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$10.38

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$852.27

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $770.77
Potential profit: $770.77
User PnL: -$181.79

Yes position

Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $664.23
Potential profit: $662.57
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$10.34

Yes position

Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.73
Potential payout: $606.52
Potential profit: $603.79
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$8.27

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $491.75
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $7.45
Potential payout: $354.99
Potential profit: $347.54
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$18.68

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $5.53
Potential payout: $345.66
Potential profit: $340.13
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$131

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334.01
Potential profit: $334.01
User PnL: -$41.62

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.2%
Current value: $219.63
Potential payout: $277.49
Potential profit: $57.86
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.13
Potential profit: $225.13
User PnL: -$214.76

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $196.27
Potential payout: $207.69
Potential profit: $11.42
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $16.42

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.9
Potential profit: $198.9
User PnL: -$166.53

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.34
Potential profit: $193.34
User PnL: -$69.6

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.61
Potential profit: $158.61
User PnL: -$78.08

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $15.7
Potential payout: $149.52
Potential profit: $133.82
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$9.72

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.73
Potential profit: $142.73
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.74
Potential profit: $137.74
User PnL: -$38.27

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $19.64
Potential payout: $135.46
Potential profit: $115.81
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$49.19

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $77.1
Potential payout: $129.58
Potential profit: $52.48
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$7.13

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$118.75

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.74
Potential profit: $113.74
User PnL: -$6.64

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.85
Potential profit: $96.85
User PnL: -$77.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Utah position

Oilers vs. Utah

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.94K

Suns position

Warriors vs. Suns

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.47K

Sabres position

Lightning vs. Sabres

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.88K

Kings position

Pelicans vs. Kings

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9K

Over position

Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33K

Predators position

Wild vs. Predators

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53K

Senators position

Hurricanes vs. Senators

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45K

Jessica Pegula position

Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaider

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.34K

Lightning position

Penguins vs. Lightning

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94K

Flames position

Flames vs. Ducks

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74K

Yes position

Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-03?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.57K

Suns position

Spread: Suns (-2.5)

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76K

Blues position

Blues vs. Blackhawks

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45K

Canucks position

Canucks vs. Ducks

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43K

Stars position

Stars vs. Wild

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36K

McCartney Kessler position

Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs McCartney Kessler

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17K

Islanders position

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13K

Blue Jackets position

Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78K

Over position

Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65K

No position

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-03?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63K

Over position

Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 4.7 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98.2% 130.67 shares
NATO dissolves before 2027?

No 95.8% 158.29 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

No 99.3% 430.18 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.6% 92.31 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 99% 122.39 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

No 86% 119.84 shares
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

No 94.5% 186.55 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 86% 236.25 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 4.4% 333.26 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

No 88% 5.68 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 12% 51.19 shares