Polymarket Trader

marcelschilcher

0x9904cf92516a3ff7d03c386b3036bad938b55ac8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $4.01K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $2.89K
User PnL: -$1.13K

No position

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$144.61

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$256.99

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $967.74
Potential profit: $967.74
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Trump say "Egg" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $733.97
Potential profit: $733.97
User PnL: -$252

No position

Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $689.66
Potential profit: $689.66
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $572.41
Potential profit: $572.41
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $529.1
Potential profit: $529.1
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460.02
Potential profit: $460.02
User PnL: -$10.15

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410.73
Potential profit: $410.73
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310.84
Potential profit: $310.84
User PnL: -$230

Yes position

Will Meta (META) close at $670-$680 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.67
Potential profit: $296.67
User PnL: -$89

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 29?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.91
Potential profit: $246.91
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.07
Potential profit: $244.07
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $896.86

Down position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.96

Yes position

Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.24

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.66

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.92

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.21

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.98

No position

Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.3

Up position

Solana Up or Down on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.65

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.1

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.26

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.99

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $45.86

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $36.61

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.29

Up position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.28

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 29% 172.41 shares
Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?

Yes 68% 81.36 shares
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?

Yes 42.2% 124.16 shares
Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?

Yes 61.2% 81.36 shares
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?

Yes 41.8% 239.36 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 12% 138.46 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 29% 111.11 shares
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 22% 227.27 shares
Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?

Yes 61.5% 162.73 shares
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?

Yes 43% 232.56 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 13% 138.46 shares
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 22% 227.27 shares