Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $70.53
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $46.53
Polymarket Trader
Celsorauen
0x990e7d2e1a0d7985db3921902bafbe2ab4c65dbd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.53
- Realized PnL
- -$69.8
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $97.39
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$167.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.8% 3,001.25 shares
- Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 4.1% 602.93 shares
- Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 31.8% 602.93 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No 33% 579.98 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No 16.2% 579.99 shares