Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.89K
- Potential profit
- $312.89K
- User PnL
- -$422.72
Polymarket Trader
0x991A7D37819a312E18041Be078feD906e493600E-1767089878853
0x991a7d37819a312e18041be078fed906e493600e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $574.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$24.29
Down position
XRP Up or Down - January 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $520
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will Joana Amaral Dias qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400.53
- Potential profit
- $400.53
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Manuel João Vieira qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.09
- Potential profit
- $312.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $200.01
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will André Pestana qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.56
- Potential profit
- $162.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.06
- Potential profit
- $148.06
- User PnL
- -$11.98
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.09
- Potential profit
- $116.09
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.33
- Potential profit
- $115.33
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 13, 9PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.05
- Potential profit
- $111.05
- User PnL
- -$11.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.19
- Potential profit
- $89.19
- User PnL
- -$6.99
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 13, 11PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.38
- Potential profit
- $72.38
- User PnL
- -$9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.43
- Potential profit
- $55.43
- User PnL
- -$26.5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - January 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.92
- Potential profit
- $48.92
- User PnL
- -$11.14
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.14
- Potential profit
- $42.14
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$5.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.77
- Potential profit
- $37.77
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.75
- Potential profit
- $35.75
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.72
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $60 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.01
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.05
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.05
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.47
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.07
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.68
Down position
XRP Up or Down - January 13, 9PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.33
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.75
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.93
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.16
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 13, 10PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.47
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 5.1% 5.26 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?Yes 6.1% 265.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETDown 49% 1.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown 43% 2.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown 42% 2.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETDown 50% 1.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown 43% 2.26 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 44% 11.07 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 22% 3.84 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 26% 3.85 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?Yes 3% 49.03 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares