Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $281.67K
- Potential profit
- $281.67K
- User PnL
- -$809.51
Polymarket Trader
0x9926011eDA6ecf48A8F61d5f1D02B385645A5d2C-1773790008428
0x9926011eda6ecf48a8f61d5f1d02b385645a5d2c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $161.01
- Realized PnL
- $688.51
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.41K
- Potential profit
- $11.41K
- User PnL
- -$118.98
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.05K
- Potential profit
- $8.05K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.06K
- Potential profit
- $7.06K
- User PnL
- -$49.99
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$408.98
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $556.14
- Potential profit
- $556.14
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $447.5
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Tatsuro Taira position
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400.01
- Potential profit
- $400.01
- User PnL
- -$100.01
Yes position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $108.51
- Potential payout
- $297.28
- Potential profit
- $188.77
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $10.55
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.52
- Potential profit
- $211.52
- User PnL
- -$50
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.89
- Potential profit
- $88.89
- User PnL
- -$32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.19
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.73
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.49
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.49
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.27
Over position
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.43
Golden Knights position
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.35
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.85
Over position
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
Avalanche position
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.17
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Multiplier
- 16.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- -$20.63
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$22.08
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$24.21
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.37
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$56.49
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$188.7
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$242.92
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$247.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30?Yes 32.1% 16.53 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes 16.8% 580.78 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?Yes 6.3% 2,260.78 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes 17.2% 580.79 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?Yes 8.8% 2,260.79 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes 1.1% 5,182.73 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 3.8% 2,024.41 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 10% 500 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 4.9% 2,024.42 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes 1% 6,227.38 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.3% 80,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.6% 8,333.33 shares