Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $887.46
- Potential profit
- $887.46
- User PnL
- -$16.86
Polymarket Trader
nony1748
0x9934b76667c9f3ff803ff028e1e897887c076078
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.9
- Realized PnL
- $17.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $160.08
- Potential profit
- $159.36
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$9.2
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will Danish People’s Party win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during Memphis Roundtable?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$32
No position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.76
- Potential profit
- $81.76
- User PnL
- -$55.6
No position
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.62
- Potential profit
- $73.62
- User PnL
- -$19.88
No position
Will Trump dance during National Agriculture Day event?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 2?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$38.49
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Maxx Crosby play for Detroit Lions next?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Memphis Roundtable?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
Will Liberal Alliance win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will Trent Williams be traded?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.94
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$6.64
Yes position
Will Jalen Carter be traded?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.94
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94K
No position
Will Shafiqur Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Texans position
Texans vs. Chargers
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Patriots position
Patriots vs. Broncos
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $804.88
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.45
Eagles position
Eagles vs. Bills
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $654.3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.61
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.32
49ers position
Bears vs. 49ers
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.15
East Carolina position
Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.48
Cowboys position
Cowboys vs. Commanders
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.06
Jaguars position
Jaguars vs. Broncos
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.33
San Diego State position
Spread: North Texas (-7.5)
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.5
Lightning position
Lightning vs. Panthers
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.89
No position
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.4
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.16
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $253.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 499.99 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 12% 79.98 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 90.7% 400 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 91.4% 400 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 24?No 72% 740.77 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 24?No 74.4% 200 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 24?No 75.5% 400 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 24?No 77.1% 350 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 24?No 78% 160 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 24?No 79% 60 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 24?No 78.6% 200 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 67.7% 5,538.22 shares