Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.6%
- Current value
- $276.45
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 6.87x
- User PnL
- $120.15
Polymarket Trader
UDK
0x993b364feffc42346e28f242d1ad57446c70deda
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.61K
- Realized PnL
- $4.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $12.38
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.4
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$421.4
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $537.65
- Potential payout
- $919.06
- Potential profit
- $381.41
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$167.51
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $71.55
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $828.45
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $99.02
- Potential payout
- $714.98
- Potential profit
- $615.96
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $521.08
- Potential profit
- $521.08
- User PnL
- -$376.77
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $76.24
- Potential payout
- $509.99
- Potential profit
- $433.75
- Multiplier
- 6.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $119.46
- Potential payout
- $509.41
- Potential profit
- $389.95
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$20.09
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$362
No position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $418.06
- Potential payout
- $433.9
- Potential profit
- $15.84
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $18.91
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $240.41
- Potential payout
- $429.3
- Potential profit
- $188.89
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $1.67
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $421.36
- Potential profit
- $421.36
- User PnL
- -$67.13
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $378
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $22
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$274
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $313.95
- Potential payout
- $390
- Potential profit
- $76.05
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $329.1
- Potential payout
- $376.11
- Potential profit
- $47.01
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $355.67
- Potential payout
- $368
- Potential profit
- $12.33
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $355.41
- Potential payout
- $363.04
- Potential profit
- $7.62
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $94.16
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $254.82
- Potential payout
- $353.91
- Potential profit
- $99.09
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $8.68
Yes position
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.5
- Potential profit
- $322.5
- User PnL
- -$113.7
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $279.74
- Potential payout
- $321.54
- Potential profit
- $41.8
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $302.87
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $184.45
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $125.55
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $12.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $350.63
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.52
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245
No position
Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.13
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.99
No position
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.13
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.78
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.38
No position
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.87
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.5
No position
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.36
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.6
No position
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.2
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.98
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.3
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $132
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.96
G2 position
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.7
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.01
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 88% 60 shares
- Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 0.2% 1,037.42 shares
- Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 2% 243 shares
- Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 2% 177.05 shares
- Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 6% 40 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 68% 44.51 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 68% 20 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 67% 13.1 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 67% 10.15 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 66% 10 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?No 67% 200 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 98.2% 288.03 shares