Polymarket Trader

birchallbets

0x99417622544c1f7e340301c00b03999762030b8d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.39K
Realized PnL: $15.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $1.64K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $30.88

Mexico position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $937.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $656.54
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $10.42

Yes position

Will Sweden reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $230
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $30

Cabo Verde position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $170
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$568.55

No position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $83.24
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $957.23
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $5.41

Yes position

Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $555
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $445
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $505.43
Potential payout: $571.1
Potential profit: $65.68
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.86

No position

Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $280.01
Potential payout: $448.01
Potential profit: $168
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$2.24

No position

Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $311.03
Potential payout: $311.18
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $114.98

Yes position

Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $241.78
Potential payout: $276.32
Potential profit: $34.54
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $191.58
Potential profit: $191.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$68.87

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $138.51
Potential payout: $162
Potential profit: $23.49
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.73
Potential profit: $97.73
User PnL: -$76.35

Yes position

Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.16
Potential profit: $40.16
User PnL: -$12.4

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $17.16
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $7.24
Potential profit: $3
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will DR Congo reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.91K

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $609.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $597.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $482.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.31

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.26

Germany position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.55

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 9% 500 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 9% 500 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 9% 500 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 9% 500 shares
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 8% 500 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 62% 89.42 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 62% 508.06 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 62% 50.81 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Norway 62% 2.03 shares
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 85% 102 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Paraguay 22% 139.25 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 59% 200 shares