No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $468.75
- Potential profit
- $468.75
- User PnL
- -$145.31
Polymarket Trader
0x9945...fd40
0x994597a1c40995130cae38c8a9d6beb86539fd40
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $239.61
- Realized PnL
- $200.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $187.32
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $52.68
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $128.31
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $161.29
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $51.59
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $54.79
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $5.65
- Potential profit
- $5.44
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $3.69
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.7
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.87
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 12.3% 183.33 shares
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 37% 202.7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 31% 468.75 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Yes 9.4% 42.26 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 62% 161.29 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 24.6% 240 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 31% 187.5 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?No 80% 94.33 shares
- GTA VI released before June 2026?No 97.8% 2 shares
- GTA VI released before June 2026?No 98.1% 2 shares
- GTA VI released before June 2026?No 98.1% 2 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 89% 33.7 shares