No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $192.1
- Potential payout
- $322.86
- Potential profit
- $130.76
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $79.1
Polymarket Trader
0xb488b4f1b2c4190cCd31B9e513D45781d72d0B8D-1768034357136
0x9945f5dd9553cf28dbe186131dc20431b3b63d3b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $342.68
- Realized PnL
- $48.79
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$108
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $131.23
- Potential payout
- $140.35
- Potential profit
- $9.12
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $51.23
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $19.35
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $10.65
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.63
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 58% 30 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 58% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 97.3% 78.12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 50% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 93% 155.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 23% 8.7 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 78% 25.64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 35% 285.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 35% 37.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 57% 140.35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 43% 181.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 44% 181.82 shares