No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$1.25K
Polymarket Trader
moronbet
0x995683d6ec99c3fb1d195366c05928bb417da7ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $547.51
- Realized PnL
- $1.54K
- Win rate
- 76.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $545.75
- Potential payout
- $590
- Potential profit
- $44.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $93.48
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.09
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496
No position
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.97
No position
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.08
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.75
No position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.22
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
No position
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.3
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.46
No position
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.44
No position
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.1
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.89
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.38
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.48
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.99
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$49.18
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$369.56
No position
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$409.95
No position
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$667.47
No position
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$840
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?Yes 2.1% 95.24 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 92% 590 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 73.6% 34.96 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 516.48 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 84.8% 707.89 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 87.2% 573.38 shares
- Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 76.4% 1,578.07 shares
- Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 71% 7.14 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 59% 660 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 86% 200 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 58% 35.43 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?No 84% 1,000 shares