Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$680
Polymarket Trader
strider-
0x997d116630ec7575f81798bf6267096801de5d15
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.36K
- Realized PnL
- $21.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $40.04K
- Potential payout
- $40.1K
- Potential profit
- $60.15
- User PnL
- $6.64K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$2.6K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $12.29K
- Potential payout
- $12.77K
- Potential profit
- $478.83
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $514.86
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $10.87K
- Potential payout
- $12.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.25K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $750
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.95K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.63K
- Potential profit
- $9.63K
- User PnL
- -$379.3
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $9.04K
- Potential payout
- $9.55K
- Potential profit
- $511
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $455.12
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $22.75
- Potential payout
- $9.1K
- Potential profit
- $9.08K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$229.65
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $170.93
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $8.83K
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$285.9
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $7.75K
- Potential profit
- $6.55K
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$219.73
No position
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $6.27K
- Potential payout
- $6.45K
- Potential profit
- $177.27
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $481.82
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.52K
- Potential profit
- $5.52K
- User PnL
- -$386.3
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$145
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.53K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $475
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$152
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- User PnL
- -$2.13K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$462.98
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- $739
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $409.99
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $289.99
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $117.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $115.7
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Current value
- $378.26
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 3.99x
- User PnL
- $231.79
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $26.37
- Potential payout
- $439.48
- Potential profit
- $413.11
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$276.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $251
- Potential payout
- $251
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $58.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.23K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $899.99
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $892.17
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $806.84
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $780
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.04
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $519.99
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.5
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.3
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.86
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.19
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.1
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $168.83
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 10% 3,299.9 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.4% 2,271.13 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 21.5% 700 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 95.7% 7,797.17 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 80% 2,231.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 27% 1,156.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 84.9% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 83.4% 4,012.55 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 81% 75.76 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 19.4% 5,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 18.5% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 86.5% 4,820.21 shares