Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $78.55
- Potential profit
- $78.51
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Polymarket Trader
0x997eF486d2a5513069BF4aa089E6293E56297E58-1776446005467
0x997ef486d2a5513069bf4aa089e6293e56297e58
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.79
- Realized PnL
- $557.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $56.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.96
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.4
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $4.65
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $37.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C or higher on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?Yes 77% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?Yes 60.7% 19.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 26?Yes 0.4% 123.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 26?Yes 0.8% 123.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 26?Yes 1.9% 57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 26?Yes 2% 27.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?Yes 12% 15.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?Yes 12% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?Yes 13% 7.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 26?Yes 3% 31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 26?Yes 3% 9.65 shares