Polymarket Trader

EscalateFund

0x998154d8eb4ba7c4b34b10d76b9742d922d7dec4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $58.2K
Realized PnL: $390.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.67K
Potential profit: $26.67K
User PnL: -$19.26K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $39.47
Potential payout: $26.31K
Potential profit: $26.28K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19.48K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $20.83K
Potential payout: $21.05K
Potential profit: $221.04
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.58K

No position

Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.11K
Potential profit: $20.11K
User PnL: -$14.49K

Sinner position

Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$18.1K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.29K
Potential profit: $18.29K
User PnL: -$15.11K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $18.04K
Potential payout: $18.17K
Potential profit: $127.17
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $27.21
Potential payout: $18.14K
Potential profit: $18.11K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$13.7K

Eagles position

Broncos vs. Eagles

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $14.29K
User PnL: -$11.09K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.12K
Potential profit: $14.12K
User PnL: -$10.3K

Nuggets position

Kings vs. Nuggets

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.05K
Potential profit: $12.05K
User PnL: -$10.18K

No position

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.55K
Potential profit: $10.55K
User PnL: -$5.31K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $10.37K
Potential payout: $10.51K
Potential profit: $136.64
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$7.79K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $8.89K
Potential payout: $9.07K
Potential profit: $176.85
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.24K

Alcaraz position

Rolex Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.81K
Potential profit: $8.81K
User PnL: -$8.27K

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.36K
Potential profit: $8.36K
User PnL: -$7.02K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.73K
Potential profit: $7.73K
User PnL: -$6.64K

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Kings

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.56K
Potential profit: $6.56K
User PnL: -$5.05K

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.21K
Potential profit: $6.21K
User PnL: -$4.97K

Buccaneers position

Falcons vs. Buccaneers

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.13K
Potential profit: $6.13K
User PnL: -$5.94K

Blues position

Blackhawks vs. Blues

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$4.14K

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.97K
Potential profit: $5.97K
User PnL: -$1.07K

Miami position

Louisville vs. Miami

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88K
Potential profit: $5.88K
User PnL: -$4.94K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.13K

No position

Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.49K

No position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.83K

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.1K

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.81K

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.64K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.37K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3K

Yes position

Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.37K

Indiana position

Oregon vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.18K

Miami position

Miami vs. Ole Miss

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.88K

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Brewers

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.74K

Yes position

Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6K

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.04K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.66K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31K

Eagles position

Commanders vs. Eagles

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1K

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 59% 10,333.88 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 84% 10,980.9 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

No 85.1% 7,000 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

No 82% 2,069.08 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

No 92% 1,746.07 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

No 87% 90.36 shares
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 78.6% 4,627.12 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 99.9% 4,201.5 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

No 83.3% 4,274.44 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 76% 12,233.38 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 75% 5,398.25 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

No 93% 4,027.59 shares