Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.47
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Polymarket Trader
0x9993...b5c5
0x99930fe8990d2067a5f2a3c41a62ed86426cb5c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $52.68
- Realized PnL
- -$8.67
- Win rate
- 43.8%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $23
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $14.03
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $10.92
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $11.21
- Potential profit
- $10.54
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $7.26
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $7.7
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $9.79
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $6.06
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 77% 8 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 95.3% 7 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 88% 7 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 12% 9 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 46.4% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 53.6% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 7.2% 25 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 92.5% 7 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 74% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 27% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 46.5% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 95% 8 shares