Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.31K
- Potential profit
- $37.31K
- User PnL
- -$250.18
Polymarket Trader
cd11133aa55788b5
0x9998bc56cd88c4c9fbf11f99ca645f9e9a54e81b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.31
- Realized PnL
- $420.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$21.18
Yes position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $12.36
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $14.61
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714
- Potential profit
- $714
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $405.71
- Potential profit
- $404.7
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $212
- Potential profit
- $211.68
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $238.44
Yes position
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.18
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.75
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $8.26
Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- $8.04
Yes position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $7.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Yes position
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.65
Yes position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $7.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.34
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $6.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Yes position
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $5.16
Yes position
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
Will the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $4.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $4.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 3.7% 522.07 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown 45% 4.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETUp 47% 4.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown 50% 3.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETDown 1% 200 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETDown 41% 4.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown 41% 4.81 shares
- Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 0.6% 14.4 shares
- Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 0.7% 136 shares
- Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 1% 291.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown 48% 10.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETUp 50% 9.84 shares