0x99a5...95cf

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $155.63
Potential payout: $183.09
Potential profit: $27.46
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$17.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $138.73
Potential payout: $170.24
Potential profit: $31.51
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$16.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $146.22
Potential payout: $151.05
Potential profit: $4.83
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $146.29
Potential payout: $148.9
Potential profit: $2.61
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $136.03
Potential payout: $142.44
Potential profit: $6.41
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $113.65
Potential payout: $126.98
Potential profit: $13.33
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $107.33
Potential payout: $122.66
Potential profit: $15.33
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $107.92
Potential payout: $119.25
Potential profit: $11.33
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $104.59
Potential payout: $113.68
Potential profit: $9.09
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$3.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $108.64
Potential payout: $109.35
Potential profit: $0.71
User PnL: $5.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $98.82
Potential payout: $105.13
Potential profit: $6.31
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $10.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $89.62
Potential payout: $96.52
Potential profit: $6.9
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$1.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $86.51
Potential payout: $93.22
Potential profit: $6.71
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $75.98
Potential payout: $85.85
Potential profit: $9.87
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$2.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $84.2
Potential payout: $84.79
Potential profit: $0.59
User PnL: $3.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $82.29
Potential payout: $83
Potential profit: $0.71
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $75.68
Potential payout: $80.21
Potential profit: $4.53
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $72.16
Potential payout: $76.04
Potential profit: $3.88
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$2.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $74.32
Potential payout: $75.91
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $67.76
Potential payout: $68.24
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 92.3%
Current value: $61.9
Potential payout: $67.06
Potential profit: $5.16
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $64.1
Potential payout: $64.71
Potential profit: $0.61
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $59.27
Potential payout: $60.17
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $49.14
Potential payout: $55.53
Potential profit: $6.39
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 16?