Yes position
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$375
Polymarket Trader
eudaemonium
0x99b0d453aaabcddc734cd0f141e84596434d70c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $6.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$424.99
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$375.15
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$73
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$441
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$355
No position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$459
No position
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
Ends Feb 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $780
Y
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?
Ends Jan 20, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $757.43
No position
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?
Ends Nov 22, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 7160477.28x
- User PnL
- $507.3
No position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021?
Ends Apr 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.95
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.5
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354
No position
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021?
Ends Nov 29, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.61
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
Ends Sep 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.74
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting?
Ends Mar 22, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.43
No position
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.27
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting?
Ends Mar 22, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.93
N
No position
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021?
Ends Apr 2, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.68
No position
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021?
Ends Nov 2, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.24
Yes position
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022?
Ends Jan 27, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.76
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021?
Ends Jan 21, 2021- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $151.53
Yes position
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021?
Ends Nov 4, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 7184942.17x
- User PnL
- $142.35
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.07
Yes position
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.06
Yes position
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st?
Ends Feb 21, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.84
No position
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6047182.21x
- User PnL
- $95.17
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?
Ends Mar 22, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92
No position
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 152376975.71x
- User PnL
- $87.49
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?
Ends Jul 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No 69% 100 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 40.4% 700 shares
- Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes 42% 100 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 40.4% 1,000 shares
- Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes 43% 500 shares
- Trump wins every swing state?No 79% 1,000 shares
- 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseNo 62% 200 shares
- Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes 29% 500 shares
- Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?Yes 25% 39.81 shares
- Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes 41% 750 shares
- Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes 25% 1,500 shares
- 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R HouseNo 67% 500 shares