No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $17.06
- Potential payout
- $42.12
- Potential profit
- $25.06
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $5.25
Polymarket Trader
0x99b7Ed7bC1267e7bD1840b8E8dc88B399130Ecce-1768673826913
0x99b7ed7bc1267e7bd1840b8e8dc88b399130ecce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.06
- Realized PnL
- $14.83
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will MrBeast hit 109.5 billion views by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $4.99
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.86
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.04
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Powell say "Sorry" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?Yes 59% 1.69 shares
- Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No 42.9% 4.99 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?Yes 57% 1.75 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes 55% 3.15 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 0.1% 6.1 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 28% 3.43 shares
- Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 4.4% 5.88 shares
- Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?No 26% 1.92 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 28% 9.89 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 30% 11.63 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 32% 3.44 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?No 36% 2.78 shares