Polymarket Trader

beiyesu

0x99bc28f4a42535f1f039cf56b0a2763978d32bee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.91
Realized PnL: $89.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84.8%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $3.36
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.4%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.04

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Yes position

Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-03-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

Kentucky Wildcats position

Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Dogecoin dip to $0.15 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Nets

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Team Secret Whales position

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Robinhood say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during earnings call?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Down 99% 1.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Down 69% 1.42 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?

No 99.3% 5.61 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Yes 33% 3.03 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

No 87% 13.9 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

No 68% 12.39 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

No 91% 10.98 shares
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-03-21?

Yes 63% 4.76 shares
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-03-21?

Yes 63% 6.35 shares
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky Wildcats 99.9% 8.98 shares