99ac1

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $728.98
Potential payout: $4.17K
Potential profit: $3.44K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.14K

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$684.87

No position

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $817.59
Potential profit: $800.1
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$157.76

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $11.81
Potential payout: $814.2
Potential profit: $802.39
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$69.61

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $35.9
Potential payout: $806.83
Potential profit: $770.92
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$173.87

Yes position

Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $731.62
Potential profit: $731.62
User PnL: -$248.24

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $100.57
Potential payout: $718.38
Potential profit: $617.8
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$34.76

Yes position

Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $631.92
Potential profit: $631.92
User PnL: -$27.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $561.8
Potential profit: $561.8
User PnL: -$255.63

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $24.66
Potential payout: $548.05
Potential profit: $523.39
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$117.3

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $24
Potential payout: $480.01
Potential profit: $456.01
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$156.75

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $477.09
Potential profit: $477.09
User PnL: -$54.53

Manuel Mazza position

ITF Milano: Manuel Mazza vs Marcello Serafini

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $463.29
Potential profit: $463.29
User PnL: -$150.37

Under position

Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.83
Potential profit: $454.83
User PnL: -$92.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444.92
Potential profit: $444.92
User PnL: -$30.53

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.77
Potential payout: $444.13
Potential profit: $438.35
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$79.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $429.76
Potential profit: $429.54
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$105.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $429.07
Potential profit: $428.43
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$151.29

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $52.03
Potential payout: $416.21
Potential profit: $364.18
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$73.02

Chicago White Sox position

Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $415.52
Potential profit: $415.52
User PnL: -$81.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $50.93
Potential payout: $407.46
Potential profit: $356.53
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $34.63

Martina Trevisan position

Brescia: Carole Monnet vs Martina Trevisan

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $405.04
Potential profit: $405.04
User PnL: -$80.49

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $400.56
Potential profit: $399.96
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$153.04

Boston Red Sox position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395.96
Potential profit: $395.96
User PnL: -$104.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Under position

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $893.51

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $859.11

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $828.37

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-14.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $769.36

Zimbabwe position

T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $710.02

Daniel Galan position

Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $697.09

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $693.09

Billy Harris position

Phoenix: Darwin Blanch vs Billy Harris

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $683.02

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $645.5

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.22

Yes position

Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $578.45

No position

Will Texas win the 2026 College World Series?

Implied probability: 91.3%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $574.76

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.67

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $555.93

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)