No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $4.72
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Polymarket Trader
SamXu
0x99c558d616b93647bb9ccd9cf4bcd7e23faf1d13
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.85
- Realized PnL
- $76.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 22?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 16-22?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.82
- Potential profit
- $2.82
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $2.65
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.13
3000 position
Will Ethereum hit $3k or $4k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.97
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 31?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 25-31?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.03
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the Qatar Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco GP pole?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
US military action on Yemen before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.37
$80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
OpenSea airdrop before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next Prime Minister of France?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 79% 6.33 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 37.7% 2.65 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 13% 3.44 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 53% 9.78 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 56% 3.25 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 55% 1.82 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Yes 45% 5.19 shares
- Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 16% 2.94 shares
- Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 34% 2.94 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?Yes 27% 3.7 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No 85% 1.69 shares