No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.18K
- Potential profit
- $40.18K
- User PnL
- -$157.43
Polymarket Trader
Mithrandiric
0x99cbb81f3de786e81b56077598875d8b0f6ff629
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.82K
- Realized PnL
- $10.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $111.51
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $106.51
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $842.46
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $251.64
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $111.53
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $656.85
- Potential payout
- $687.81
- Potential profit
- $30.95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $77.64
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $631.87
- Potential profit
- $631.87
- User PnL
- -$456
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $20.7
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $579.3
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $8.7
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $28.16
- Potential payout
- $516.66
- Potential profit
- $488.5
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$5.29
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $75.23
- Potential payout
- $480.7
- Potential profit
- $405.47
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $19.42
Novak Djokovic position
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $318
- Potential profit
- $318
- User PnL
- -$235.24
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$267
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $145.43
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$115.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $128.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $21.75
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $11.25
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $92
- User PnL
- -$58.8
Yes position
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.77
- Potential profit
- $13.77
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75K
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $691.71
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.37
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.09
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.17
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.63
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.93
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.4
Yes position
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.5
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.33
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.59
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.5
Yes position
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.75
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.71
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.1
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.28
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.55
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.96
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No 64% 43.62 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 60% 35 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No 71% 245.66 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No 70.9% 250 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No 71% 45 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No 70% 40 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No 62% 469.82 shares
- Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes 26% 26 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 82% 500 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 81% 10 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 81% 206.76 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No 78% 50 shares