Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $65.94
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Polymarket Trader
portofino-263
0x99eabb036d14da632bb87cd8ffe674924f7e0882
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $65.94
- Realized PnL
- $311.72
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$4.44
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$49.5
Yes position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $278.06
- Potential profit
- $278.06
- User PnL
- -$123.61
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Martin Short win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.01
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.08
No position
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.37
Y
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in October?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.3
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.04
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.85
No position
Jimmy Kimmel cancelled by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.06
Putin position
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.27
No position
Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Yes position
EU sanctions on Iran by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will Samsung release a trifold phone by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will The Pitt win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Yes position
Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Armenia agrees to establish Zangezur Corridor in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Russia announces air truce by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.69
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 3% 333.33 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 2.9% 340.43 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 2.9% 344.83 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 2.9% 344.83 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 2.9% 344.83 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 2.9% 344.83 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 2.9% 344.83 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?Yes 81.5% 24.54 shares
- Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 57.5% 65.53 shares
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No 45% 4.44 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 17% 7.5 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 40% 7.5 shares